school of applied economic

An Zidong

An Zidong

Professor of Economics, Wu Yuzhang Scholar, Associate Dean

Research Interests: Applied Macroeconomics, Expectation Management, Policy Coordination

Email: zidong.an@ruc.edu.cn

EMPLOYMENT

Associate Dean, School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Dec 2025-current

Professor of Economics, School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Sep 2024-current

Director, Center for International Policy Coordination Research, Institute for Advanced Studies in Social Sciences (Shenzhen), Renmin University of China, Sep 2023-current

Professor of Economics and Associate Dean, School of Economics and Management, Xizang University, Mar 2024-Aug 2025

Associate Professor of Economics, School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Sep 2019-Aug 2024

Visiting Scholar, Department of Development Planning, National Development and Reform Commission, Sep 2020-Dec 2020

Research Officer, Research Department, International Monetary Fund, Apr 2015-Aug 2019

OTHER AFFILIATIONS

Associate Editor, International Review of Economics & Finance, Dec 2025-current

RESEARCH

Peer-reviewed Publications

1. Fu, Q., Li, Y. and An, Z.*, 2025. The impact of local government debt management on local economic growth. Study & Exploration (in Chinese)

2. An, Z., Zhang, Y. and Li, H.*, 2024. Comprehensive understanding of the connotation, characteristics and development priorities of New Quality Productive Forces--Summary of the symposium on New Quality Productive Forces (in Chinese). Applied Economic Review

3. An, Z., Abo-Zaid, S. and Sheng, X.*, 2023. Inattention and the impact of monetary policy. Journal of Applied Econometrics

4. An, Z., Sheng, X. and Zheng, X.*, 2023. What is the role of perceived oil price shocks in inflation expectations? Energy Economics

5. An, Z. and Zheng, X.*, 2023. Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus. Economic Modelling

6. An, Z., Binder, C. and Sheng, X.*, 2023. Gas price expectations of Chinese households. Energy Economics

7. Hu, F. and An, Z.*, 2023. The buffering effect of higher education expansion on the Okun's law in China. Review of Public Economics

8. An, Z.*, 2023. Financial reforms and capital accumulation in developing economies: New data and evidence. China Economic Review

9. Wang, M., Huang, Y.*, An, Z. and Wei, C.*, 2022. Reforming the world's largest heating system: Quasi-experimental evidence from China. Energy Economics

10. Che, J., An, Z., Zheng, Y*. and Song, F., 2022. The dynamic complementarity of renewable energy sources: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach. International Journal of Green Energy

11. An, Z., Zhang, F. and Li, H.*, 2022. Elasticity of substitution between public and private capital: Evidence from manufacturing firms in Europe. Economics Letters

12. Wu, S., Zheng, X.* and An, Z., 2022. Climate governance and Economic Fluctuations: Okun's law in climate change (in Chinese). Economic Perspectives

13. An, Z., Bluedorn, J.* and Ciminelli, G., 2022. Okun's Law, development, and demographics: Differences in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across economy and worker groups. Applied Economics

14. An, Z., Liu, D. and Wu, Y.*, 2021. Expectation formation following pandemic events. Economics Letters

15. An, Z. and Jalles, J.*, 2020. On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: Government vs. private information. Journal of Economic Studies

16. An, Z., Kangur, A. and Papageorgiou, C.*, 2019. On the substitution of private and public capital in production. European Economic Review

17. An, Z.*, Ghazi, T., Prieto, N.G. and Ibourk, A., 2019. Growth and jobs in developing economies: Trends and cycles. Open Economies Review

18. An, Z., Ball, L., Jalles, J. and Loungani, P.*, 2019. Do IMF forecasts respect Okun's law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies. International Journal of Forecasting

19. An, Z., Jalles, J. and Loungani, P.*, 2019. An assessment of the IMF's unemployment forecasts. Manchester School

20. An, Z., Jalles, J., Loungani, P.* and Sousa, R.M., 2018. Do IMF fiscal forecasts add value?. Journal of Forecasting

21. An, Z., Jalles, J. and Loungani, P.*, 2018. How well do economists forecast recessions?. International Finance

Books and Book Chapters

1. An, Z., 2025. "Promoting a new strategy for global competition: An assessment of China's OFDI and its impact" (in Chinese). In New Quality Productive Forces: Theory, Evidence, and Pathways. China Renmin University Press.

2. An, Z., 2024. Economic Expectations and Macroeconomic Policies (in Chinese). China Science Publishing & Media LTD

3. An, Z., 2023. "China's economic development in a global context" (in Chinese). In Ten Lectures of Ideological and Political Education.

Media and Communication

1. An, Z. and Wang, Y., 2025. Nation's economic policies helpful for building global economic resilience. Global Times

2. An, Z. and Shi, X., 2025. Collaborate talents cultivation in the east, central, and western regions guided by academic discipline development. Guangming Daily (in Chinese)

3. An, Z., Qiu, N. and Li, H., 2024. Macroeconomic data show advantage, resilience in China. Global Times

4. An, Z. and Li, H., 2023. China's robust economic recovery stimulated by fiscal policy and consumption rebound. Global Times

5. An, Z. and Li, H., 2023. Why it's necessary to establish new department for private sector development. CGTN

6. Zhang, N., and An, Z., 2023. Foster international cooperation and 'dual circulation' paradigm. CGTN

7. An, Z., 2023. How China's reopening will help global economic recovery. CGTN

8. Zhang, N., An, Z. and Wei, C., 2022. Strengthening the quality of graduate training by pre-defense program. China Science News (in Chinese)

9. An, Z. and Loungani, P., 2020. Forecasting recoveries is difficult: Evidence from past recessions. VoxEU

10. Ahn, M.J., An, Z., Bluedorn, M.J.C., Ciminelli, G., Koczan, Z., Malacrino, M.D., Muhaj, D. and Neidlinger, P., 2019. Work in progress: Improving youth labor market outcomes in emerging market and developing economies. IMF Staff Discussion Note 19(2)

11. An, Z. and Loungani, P., 2016. IMF: Unemployment in emerging economies is set to rise this year. World Economic Forum

EDUCATION

Ph.D. in Economics, American University, 2019

M.S. in Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 2011

B.S. in Economics, Renmin University of China, 2009